Have a Look at the Vikings’ Playoff Math Right Now

Weekly, VikingsZone Tracks the Minnesota Vikings’ odds of reaching the postseason from before Week 1 through Week 18.

See Vikings’ Playoff Math Now

Various probability sources are tracked and centralized at a single point for reference.

This is the Vikings’ odds meter after Week 14 beat the Atlanta Falcons. All playoff math provided by DVOA.

We Completely Missed the Playoffs
0.1%

This requires a massive collapse; Minnesota would lose its next four games and either the Los Angeles Rams or Seattle Seahawks would run the table.

Yes, it doesn’t work.

Win the NFC North But Win the No. 1 seed.
2.5%

In this scenario, Minnesota would catch the Lions from behind for the NFC North crown, but the Philadelphia Eagles would finish the season with the same (or better) record as Minnesota and earn the No. 1 seed.

The oddsmakers fundamentally don’t believe the Vikings can catch up to the Lions.

Secure Home-Field Advantage Anywhere (No. 1 Seed)
6.2%

This is the Holy Grail plan.

Enter Week 18 with the same record as the Lions. Defeat the lions. Gain home field advantage throughout.

Assuming Minnesota can win its remaining four games, Detroit needs to lose at least one game for this one to end.

Win Rank 6 =
25.4%

Here, Minnesota will likely lose to the Chicago Bears this Monday night, the following week in Seattle and again at home to the Green Bay Packers.

The Cheese team would move past Minnesota to capture the 5th seed, leaving the Vikings to battle the Washington Commanders for the sixth spot in the conference.

Win the #5 Seed
62.1%

Minnesota has a two-game lead over the Packers through 14 weeks, and if that lead holds, the fifth-seeded Vikings will be in the playoff bracket near you.

Assuming Minnesota loses just one or two more games with Green Bay out of the lead, this is the most logical landing spot for Kevin O’Connell’s team.

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dustin baker He is a political scientist who graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2007. Subscribe to daily YouTube Channel, VikesNow. The program, which is prepared with 4-7 episodes per week, includes guests, analyzes and opinions on everything related to the purple team. The MIN obsession dates back to 1996. Guilty pleasures listed: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos’, Basset Hounds and The Doors (band). He follows the NBA as closely as the NFL.

All statistics provided by Pro Football Reference / Stathead; All contract information provided by OverTheCap.com.